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Wednesday, November 13, 2024

Making sense of the markets this week: January 21, 2024

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The acquisition seems to be to be turning out fairly nicely for America’s largest financial institution, because it claimed that the previous First Republic Financial institution contributed $4.1 billion in revenue in 2023.

Dimon supplied some macroeconomic context in ahead steerage. “The U.S. economic system continues to be resilient, with customers nonetheless spending, and markets at present count on a tender touchdown.” 

In fact, being a banking CEO, he then needed to hedge his place by saying deficit spending “might lead inflation to be stickier and charges to be greater than markets count on.” 

New Morgan Stanley CEO Ted Choose cited two “main draw back dangers” as causes for concern: geopolitical conflicts and the U.S. economic system. 

Mirroring Dimon’s “on one hand, and then again” PR formulation, Choose acknowledged, “The bottom case is benign, particularly that of a tender touchdown. However, if the economic system weakens dramatically within the quarters to return and the [U.S. Federal Reserve] has to maneuver quickly to keep away from a tough touchdown, that may seemingly end in decrease asset costs and exercise ranges.”

Like their Canadian banking brethren, the U.S. banks all reported substantial elevated provisions for credit score losses. This cash, put aside to cowl the inevitable enhance in interest-led mortgage delinquencies, additionally weighs on banks’ backside traces.

Canadians on the lookout for publicity to U.S. banks can get it by means of TSX-listed ETFs, such because the Harvest US Financial institution Leaders Earnings ETF (HUBL), RBC U.S. Banks Yield Index ETF (RUBY) and BMO Equal Weight US Banks Index ETF (ZBK). Traders may get single-stock publicity to JPMorgan, Financial institution of America and Goldman Sachs in Canadian {dollars} by means of Canadian Depository Receipts (CDRs) listed on the Cboe Canada Change.

Test MoneySense’s ETF screener for all ETF choices in Canada.

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