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Sunday, December 22, 2024

Shares Are on Hearth – The Irrelevant Investor

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For simply the third time within the final decade, the S&P 500 has been larger for eight consecutive weeks. That is the nineteenth time it occurred since 1950.

Shares Are on Hearth – The Irrelevant Investor

With a 15.5% achieve for the reason that final week in October, it’s the third strongest 8-win streak for the S&P 500. Not dangerous. Not dangerous in any respect.

It’s bizarre to say that it’s been a troublesome 12 months, contemplating the S&P 500 is 26% and the Nasdaq-100 is up 54%. And whereas powerful might not be the precise method to describe the market in 2024, it definitely hasn’t been simple.

There was good purpose to be involved coming into the 12 months. Inflation was operating at over 6%. The fed had already hiked seven occasions for a complete of 425 foundation factors. And with that, shares had gotten killed.

It’s simple to neglect, now that the Q’s are up 54% on the 12 months, however coming into 2023, Meta was in a 68% drawdown. Nvidia and Amazon had been each off 55%. Alphabet was 41% beneath its excessive. After which within the first quarter, we had the regional financial institution disaster. After which we needed to fear about about what impacts which may have on credit score availability. Then we had the standard nonsense with the debt-ceiling “disaster.” All of the whereas, we had been bracing for the impression of a recession that by no means got here.

And inside the inventory market, all 12 months we had folks speaking about how all the good points had been coming from the highest 7 shares, implying that the rally was someway synthetic and resulting from fizzle out. And it wasn’t a wholly unreasonable commentary. After we had a swift 10% correction in October within the S&P 500, the equal-weight model of the index was down 5% on the 12 months with simply two months to go.

After which it occurred. Shares stopped taking place and now they received’t cease going up. Eight weeks in a row of good points.

It’s been a hell of a 12 months for the inventory market, however don’t let anyone let you know that it’s been simple for traders. It was something however.

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